A Serie A clash unfolds at the Stadio Friuli this Sunday as Udinese welcome Fiorentina. Udinese, currently 12th with 44 points, are desperate to end a four-match winless run at home, while Fiorentina, sitting 7th on 62 points, need to win and hope Lazio lose to have a chance of qualifying for Europe - to do so they will need to snap a troubling streak of three consecutive away defeats.
Recent form highlights the challenges facing both teams. Udinese have struggled offensively, failing to score in six home matches this season, while Fiorentina’s defensive vulnerabilities have been laid bare, conceding in each of their last seven outings. Despite these setbacks, Fiorentina can rely on the prolific Moise Kean, who has netted 17 goals this term, while Udinese’s Lorenzo Lucca, with 11 goals, remains their primary attacking outlet. With both sides averaging 1.65 goals per game, the outcome could hinge on who makes the most of their opportunities.
The historical record adds another layer of intrigue. Udinese have traditionally been strong at home against Fiorentina, winning 14 of their last 30 meetings at the Friuli. The most frequent scoreline in these fixtures, a 1-0 victory for Udinese, underscores their defensive solidity on home soil. However, Fiorentina have dominated recent head-to-head clashes, claiming six wins in the last 12 encounters. Udinese will take confidence from their triumph in the reverse fixture earlier this season, a result they’ll hope to replicate this weekend.
As the Serie A season comes to an end, the stakes are immense for the visitors. A victory for Udinese would mean very little but Fiorentina must overcome their away struggles to keep their slim European aspirations alive. With home advantage favouring Udinese and Fiorentina under pressure to deliver, this promises to be a gripping contest right until the final whistle.
Udinese - Fiorentina Key Facts
Fiorentina have a superior overall record against Udinese, winning 29 of their last 59 encounters, which suggests they have a psychological edge going into this match, making them a potentially safer bet for victory.
Udinese have not won any of their last four home matches, indicating a concerning dip in form that could influence their performance and betting odds negatively.
Both teams have struggled to score in recent matches, with Udinese failing to find the net in 6 of their 18 home games this season and Fiorentina in 4 of their 18 away games, highlighting a potential for a low-scoring affair.
Udinese vs Fiorentina Betting Predictions
Primary Bet:Over 2.5 Goals @ 10/11
The recommendation of "over 2.5 goals" is underpinned by a compelling statistical probability of 78.32%, making it a strong value option. Previous encounters between Udinese and Fiorentina have averaged 2.4 goals per match, while both sides have found the net in 58.75% of their fixtures this season. Although Udinese have struggled to score consistently at home, Fiorentina’s defensive frailties—evidenced by three consecutive away defeats—significantly boost the chances of a high-scoring affair.
Secondary Bet:Away Win @ Evens
Backing Fiorentina for the "away win" also offers value, given their superior standing in Serie A and historical dominance over Udinese, with 29 victories in 59 meetings. Udinese are winless in their last four home matches, while Fiorentina will be determined to halt their poor away form. Despite both teams facing recent challenges, Fiorentina’s overall quality and Udinese’s lacklustre home performances make the away side a solid choice to claim all three points.
