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Fulham vs Everton Premier League: 78% Chance of Over 2.5 Goals—Betting Value Revealed!

Uncover why the Cottagers have dominated recent clashes at Craven Cottage—winning three of the last five against the Toffees—and leverage key stats to make your smartest Premier League bet for Fulham vs Everton.

Sporticos By Sporticos, Team
Published: 08:30, 9 May 2025
Sporticos

Who will win?

Fulham
X
Everton

The stage is set for a Premier League clash as Fulham welcome Everton to Craven Cottage on Saturday, 10 May 2025. Both sides are embroiled in a tense mid-table battle, with Fulham sitting 11th on 51 points and Everton trailing in 14th with 39 points. Recent defeats for both teams have only added to the pressure, as Fulham aim to consolidate their position while Everton fight to steer clear of relegation danger.

Fulham come into the match with a slight edge in form, having secured two wins in their last five outings compared to Everton’s solitary victory in the same period. On home turf, Fulham’s attacking threat is evident, averaging 1.48 goals per game, a stark contrast to Everton’s struggles on the road, where they manage just 0.91 goals per match. Adding to Fulham’s confidence is their superior goal difference of +3, while Everton’s -7 exposes their defensive frailties. Notably, Fulham have a knack for late goals, with 34% of their strikes coming in the final 15 minutes, a potential weapon against any lapses from the visitors.

Historically, Everton have had the upper hand in this rivalry, winning 19 of the last 40 meetings. However, recent trends favour Fulham, who are unbeaten in their last five encounters with the Toffees. The most common result at Craven Cottage is a 2-0 Fulham victory, a scoreline that could repeat if Everton fail to address their away form. Fulham’s last home win against Everton came in 2019, and their supporters will be eager for a repeat performance.

Key players could prove decisive, with Raul Jimenez spearheading Fulham’s attack and Iliman Ndiaye crucial for Everton. Jimenez has netted 10 goals this season, underlining his importance, while Ndiaye’s seven goals highlight his role in Everton’s survival bid. With both teams seeking a turning point, this clash promises drama, tension, and potentially season-defining moments.

Fulham - Everton Key Facts

  • Fulham are unbeaten in their last five encounters against Everton across all competitions, winning three and drawing two, indicating a strong psychological advantage that could influence betting on their performance.

  • Fulham have scored an average of 1.48 goals at home this season, while Everton averages just 0.91 goals away, suggesting that punters might favour Fulham to score more frequently in this matchup.

  • Historically, the most common result when Fulham hosts Everton is a 2-0 victory for Fulham, which could be a valuable scoreline to consider for betting predictions based on past trends.

Betting Predictions

Primary bet:Over 2.5 Goals@ Evens

Fulham's impressive attacking form at home, paired with Everton's defensive frailties, makes the over 2.5 goals market particularly enticing. Fulham have found the net in 14 of their 17 home fixtures this season, averaging 1.48 goals per match. Meanwhile, Everton have struggled defensively on their travels, conceding consistently. Adding to this, Fulham have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last seven matches, creating opportunities for Everton to contribute to the goal count. With a calculated probability of 78.59% for over 2.5 goals, this selection offers excellent value at evens.

Secondary bet:Both Teams to Score: Yes@ 10/11

The secondary bet, Both Teams to Score: Yes, is bolstered by Fulham's defensive vulnerabilities and historical scoring trends. Fulham average 1.2 goals per match against Everton, while Everton have managed to score 0.6 goals per game in this fixture. Although Everton have failed to score in their last two matches, Fulham's leaky defence and Everton's urgency to improve their form suggest both sides could find the back of the net. With odds of 10/11 and a probability of 56.96%, this bet provides a strong alternative for punters.

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