Empoli and Parma are set to face off this Saturday at the Carlo Castellani stadium in a Serie A match. Empoli, currently in 19th place with 25 points from 35 matches, are battling to escape relegation. Meanwhile, Parma, positioned 16th with 32 points, are also striving to secure their safety and avoid being drawn into the relegation zone. Both teams are coming off recent defeats, adding to the high stakes of this encounter.
Empoli's struggles at home have been a major factor in their current predicament, with no wins in their last 10 matches and a disappointing 1-7-8 record at the Castellani this season. Scoring has been a persistent issue, as they have managed goals in only six of their 16 home games. However, they can draw some confidence from their recent home record against Parma, having lost just once in their last five meetings. Sebastiano Esposito, their leading scorer with eight goals, will be crucial in their efforts to secure a vital victory.
Parma's away form has also been concerning, with a 1-9-7 record on the road. Their last away victory against Empoli occurred in 2009, highlighting their struggles in this fixture. Ange Bonny, Parma's top scorer with six goals, will play a key role as they aim to overcome their away difficulties. With both teams averaging less than a goal per game in their respective weak areas, the outcome of this match may hinge on which side capitalizes on limited opportunities.
Empoli - Parma Key Facts
Empoli have not won any of their last 11 home matches in Serie A, indicating a significant struggle at home that could influence betting on their performance against Parma, who are also struggling away.
Parma have not won any of their last 11 away matches, which suggests a lack of form on the road, making it risky to bet on them for an away victory against Empoli.
In their last 12 home encounters, Empoli have not lost to Parma, with 4 wins and 4 draws, highlighting a historical advantage that may sway betting decisions in favour of Empoli despite their current form.
Betting Predictions
Primary bet:Over 2.5 goals@ 10/11
The primary recommendation of "Over 2.5 goals" is well-supported by historical data, with fixtures between Empoli and Parma averaging 3 goals per match. While both sides have faced challenges in front of goal recently, Empoli average 1.09 goals per home match, and Parma contribute an average of 0.95 goals on their travels. These figures suggest both teams are capable of adding to the scoreline. With a calculated probability of 61.76% and odds of 10/11, this bet presents strong value, particularly in the context of a high-stakes Serie A fixture where both clubs are desperate for points to steer clear of relegation danger.
Secondary bet:Away Win@ 14/5
The secondary bet, "Away Win," is underpinned by Parma's superior overall form in Serie A and Empoli's ongoing struggles, having failed to secure a win in their last 10 matches. Although Parma have not won any of their last 11 away fixtures, their historical edge in head-to-head meetings and Empoli's poor home record strengthen this selection. Notably, Empoli have failed to score in 10 of their 16 home matches this season, further tipping the scales in Parma's favour. At odds of 14/5, this represents a solid value option for punters seeking an alternative angle.
