Napoli vs Empoli predictions & betting tips

Napoli’s pursuit of Serie A glory reaches a critical juncture on Monday, 14 April, as they host relegation-threatened Empoli at the Stadio San Paolo. Currently second with 64 points from 30 matches, Napoli remain a strong contender for the title. Meanwhile, Empoli, positioned 18th with 23 points, are fighting to avoid relegation. With Napoli unbeaten in their last seven home games and Empoli winless in six consecutive matches, the stakes are exceptionally high.

The form guide underscores a significant disparity between the teams. Napoli’s resilience is evident in their four-match unbeaten streak, supported by a robust home record averaging 1.68 goals per game. Conversely, Empoli struggle with a two-match scoring drought and a lack of confidence on the road, averaging only 1.14 goals per game. Napoli’s offensive capabilities, led by Romelu Lukaku’s 11 goals this season, appear poised to exploit Empoli’s defensive vulnerabilities.

Historical data also favours Napoli, with seven wins in their last 12 home encounters against Empoli at the San Paolo. However, Empoli’s consecutive victories over Napoli last season add an intriguing dimension. The head-to-head record is balanced, with four wins each in their last eight meetings, but Napoli’s 93% win rate when leading 1-0 at home could provide a psychological advantage.

As the match approaches, the narrative remains compelling. Will Napoli maintain their title challenge and capitalise on Empoli’s struggles, or can Sebastiano Esposito, with eight goals this season, inspire an upset for the visitors? With Napoli’s goal difference of +23 compared to Empoli’s -23, the odds heavily favor the hosts. However, football is unpredictable, and surprises are always possible. This fixture could prove pivotal for both teams, with everything at stake.

Napoli - Empoli Key Facts

• Napoli have an impressive home record against Empoli, winning 7 out of the last 12 encounters at home, with a goal difference of 23-12, indicating their dominance in this fixture which is crucial for betting on Napoli's victory.

• Empoli are struggling, having not won in their last 6 matches, which significantly diminishes their chances of success and suggests a strong likelihood of Napoli capitalising on this poor form.

• Napoli have not lost any of their last 7 home matches in Serie A, reinforcing their strong home advantage and making them a reliable option for punters looking to back them in this upcoming fixture.

Betting Predictions

Primary Bet:Home Win @ 33/100

Napoli’s formidable home record and current form position them as strong favourites against an out-of-sorts Empoli. Napoli have triumphed in 7 of their last 12 home fixtures against Empoli and are unbeaten in their previous 4 matches overall, including an impressive streak of 7 consecutive home matches without defeat. Meanwhile, Empoli are enduring a torrid spell, failing to win any of their last 6 outings. Although Empoli managed two shock victories over Napoli last season, the hosts’ recent consistency and dominance on home turf make a "home win" the standout choice for this fixture.

Secondary Bet:Over 2.5 Goals @ 91/100

The secondary bet on "over 2.5 goals" is well-supported by Napoli’s attacking prowess, with the hosts averaging 1.68 goals per home match, while Empoli’s away fixtures see an average of 1.14 goals. A statistical likelihood of 72.46% for a high-scoring match further reinforces this selection, as Napoli’s potent attack is likely to capitalise on Empoli’s defensive frailties. While historical meetings between these sides have averaged just 1.4 goals, Napoli’s current offensive form suggests a more open and goal-laden encounter, offering excellent value in this market.