Como vs Empoli predictions & betting tips

The battle for survival heats up this Saturday as Como welcome Empoli to the Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia for a pivotal Serie A clash. With Como sitting 13th and Empoli struggling in 18th, the stakes couldn’t be higher. A mere five points separate the two sides, making this a must-win fixture for both as they look to steer clear of the relegation zone. While Como have managed two wins in their last five matches, Empoli’s form is a major concern, having failed to secure a single victory during the same period.

Como’s recent displays provide some optimism for the home supporters. They’ve found the net in six consecutive matches, underlining their attacking consistency. Their performances on home soil have been particularly promising, averaging 1.68 goals per game, with 31% of their strikes coming in the second half—a sign of their late-game resilience. At the back, Edoardo Goldaniga will be crucial in shoring up the defence as Como aim to exploit Empoli’s vulnerabilities, with the visitors conceding in each of their last 20 matches.

Empoli, meanwhile, are under mounting pressure to turn their season around. Their inability to score in their last two outings highlights their attacking struggles, and their away form remains underwhelming, with just 1.04 goals per game on average. Liam Henderson will need to step up and inspire a misfiring attack as Empoli fight to end their scoring drought and avoid slipping further into trouble. However, they can take confidence from their recent dominance in this fixture, having won the last meeting and staying unbeaten in their previous three encounters with Como.

This match is far more than just three points—it’s a potential turning point in the relegation battle. Como will look to capitalise on their home advantage and recent form, while Empoli’s survival hopes rest on finding answers to their offensive woes. With both sides desperate for a result, supporters can expect a tense and dramatic showdown that could have lasting implications for their Serie A campaigns.

Como - Empoli Key Facts

Como have demonstrated a strong home advantage, winning 61% of their matches when leading 1-0. This resilience when ahead makes them a reliable choice if they score first.

Empoli have conceded a goal in each of their last 20 matches, indicating defensive vulnerabilities. This trend suggests that Como could capitalize on scoring opportunities, while Empoli might also find the net given their competitive history.

In their last five encounters, both teams have won twice and drawn once, showcasing a balanced rivalry. However, Como's recent form appears superior, making them a potentially safer bet in this matchup.

Betting Predictions

Primary Bet:Over 2.5 goals @ 11/10

Como’s impressive home scoring record combined with Empoli’s defensive frailties makes over 2.5 goals the standout selection for this fixture. Como are averaging 1.68 goals per match on home turf and have found the net in six consecutive matches, highlighting their attacking consistency. On the other hand, Empoli have conceded in every one of their last 20 matches, a glaring defensive weakness. While historical head-to-heads between these sides average just 1.2 goals per match, Como’s current form strongly suggests a higher-scoring encounter, with a 68.37% probability supporting this outcome.

Secondary Bet:Home Win @ 3/4

For a more cautious approach, backing Como to secure a home win at 3/4 also presents solid value. Statistical models give Como a 49.18% chance of victory, and they have triumphed in two of their last five meetings with Empoli. Furthermore, Empoli’s recent struggles in front of goal—failing to score in two of their last three matches—further strengthen Como’s position. With the added advantage of playing at home and their superior form in Serie A, this bet offers a well-balanced mix of risk and reward.