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Nottm Forest vs Chelsea predictions & betting tips

Uncover the key stats behind the Blues’ 27-15 aggregate dominance over Nottingham Forest and leverage expert insights to fuel your Premier League betting strategy for Sunday’s City Ground showdown.

Sporticos By Sporticos, Team
Published: 12:00, 24 May 2025
Sporticos

Who will win?

Nottm Forest
X
Chelsea

The City Ground will host one of the most intriguing matches across all of Europe this weekend - a crucial Premier League showdown this Sunday as Nottingham Forest take on Chelsea, in a clash that will determine which of these two teams will qualify for next season's UEFA Champions League. With just one point separating the sides—Chelsea in fifth and Forest in seventh—the stakes are immense. For Forest, it’s a chance to snap a four-match winless run and top off their spectacular season by finishing in the top five. Chelsea, on the other hand, arrive in fine form, having won four of their last five matches, and will look to finish the job in the East Midlands.

The recent form of both teams tells a contrasting story. Chelsea have been clinical on the road, averaging 1.78 goals per game this season, while Forest have struggled for consistency, managing just 1.27 goals per game at home. Defensively, Forest have been vulnerable, conceding in each of their last seven matches. With Chris Wood leading Forest’s attack and Cole Palmer spearheading Chelsea’s forward line, the outcome could hinge on which side is more ruthless in front of goal.

The history between these two adds further intrigue. Their last meeting ended in a 1-1 draw, continuing a trend of tightly contested encounters. Forest’s last home victory over Chelsea came in 1997, a statistic that underlines the scale of the challenge they face. Chelsea have dominated this fixture in recent years, winning nine of the last 17 meetings compared to Forest’s three. However, with an average of 2.8 goals per game in their clashes, supporters can anticipate an entertaining affair.

As the final whistle draws near, the stakes couldn’t be higher. Will Nottingham Forest finally break their Chelsea hoodoo on home soil, or will the visitors’ impressive form prevail? With European qualification hanging in the balance, every moment at the City Ground promises to be decisive.

Nottingham Forest - Chelsea Key Facts

  • Chelsea have a strong historical advantage over Nottingham Forest, winning 9 out of the last 17 encounters, which highlights their dominance and makes them a more reliable choice for punters.

  • Forest are winless in their last 4 matches and have failed to score in 4 of their 18 home games this season, indicating a concerning lack of form that could impact their chances of securing a victory.

  • The average number of goals in matches between Forest and Chelsea is 2.8, suggesting a tendency for high-scoring games, which could influence betting on total goals.

Nottingham Forest vs Chelsea Betting Predictions

Primary Bet:Over 2.5 goals @ 4/6

The primary recommendation of "over 2.5 goals" is underpinned by a strong 77.42% probability, reflecting the attacking tendencies of both sides. Nottingham Forest average 1.27 goals per home match, while Chelsea boast an impressive 1.78 goals per game on their travels. Historical encounters further support this prediction, with an average of 2.8 goals scored in previous meetings between these teams. Despite Nottingham Forest's recent struggles, their home fixtures, combined with Chelsea's attacking prowess, point towards a high-scoring contest.

Secondary Bet:Chelsea to Win @ 6/5

The secondary bet of "Chelsea to win" is supported by a 51.99% probability and their commanding historical record against Nottingham Forest. Chelsea have emerged victorious in three of their last six visits to Nottingham Forest and have not lost at this ground since 1997. While Chelsea's away form has been somewhat inconsistent, Nottingham Forest's poor run—failing to win in their last four matches and managing just four clean sheets in their last 18 home games—makes Chelsea the more dependable choice. With Chelsea's historical dominance and Nottingham Forest's current struggles, this bet offers solid value.

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