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Chelsea vs Liverpool predictions & betting tips

Uncover why the Blues and the Reds so often finish level—15 Chelsea vs Liverpool clashes have ended 1-1—and leverage key stats to fuel your Premier League betting strategy for Sunday’s Stamford Bridge showdown.

Sporticos By Sporticos, Team
Published: 04:12, 2 May 2025
Sporticos

Who will win?

Chelsea
X
Liverpool

Stamford Bridge will host a high-stakes Premier League clash this Sunday as Chelsea welcome league leaders Liverpool. Chelsea, currently fifth and chasing a top-four finish, are desperate for points to keep their European football ambitions alive. Meanwhile, Liverpool, sitting at the summit, aim to strengthen their title defence. The Blues have struggled for consistency, with just two wins in their last five matches, while Liverpool arrive in London on the back of a three-game winning streak. The outcome of this encounter could have significant ramifications for both sides.

Recent history leans in Liverpool's favour, with the Reds losing only twice to Chelsea in their last 16 meetings. However, Stamford Bridge has been a tricky venue for Liverpool, as Chelsea remain unbeaten in their last three home fixtures against them. The Blues’ solid home record of 10 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses this season adds to their confidence, though Liverpool’s formidable away form of 11 wins, 5 draws, and just 1 defeat suggests they are more than capable of rising to the occasion. Interestingly, the most common result between these two sides is a 1-1 draw, hinting at another tightly contested affair.

Key players are likely to determine the outcome. Chelsea’s Cole Palmer, with 14 goals this season, is central to their attacking threat and European aspirations. For Liverpool, Mohamed Salah continues to shine, with an impressive 28 goals to his name. Both players have been instrumental in their teams’ recent form, with Chelsea scoring in five consecutive matches and Liverpool averaging 1.6 goals per game against the Blues. Moments of individual brilliance could prove decisive in this pivotal fixture.

As the final whistle looms, the stakes couldn’t be higher. A Chelsea victory would reignite their top-four hopes, while Liverpool will look to extend their dominance and tighten their grip on the title race. With both teams finding the net in their last five matches, fans are in for a thrilling encounter that could shape the remainder of the season.

Chelsea - Liverpool Key Facts

  • Liverpool FC have not lost any of their last five encounters against Chelsea FC across all competitions, winning three and drawing two, indicating a strong psychological advantage heading into this match for potential punters.

  • Chelsea FC have failed to win any of their last five Premier League matches against Liverpool FC, which highlights their struggles against this opponent and suggests a potential continuation of this trend.

  • Liverpool FC have an impressive away record this season with 11 wins, 5 draws, and only 1 loss, showcasing their strong form on the road and making them a formidable opponent for Chelsea FC at Stamford Bridge.

Betting Predictions

Primary bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 4/7

Chelsea and Liverpool's attacking prowess makes the Over 2.5 goals bet particularly appealing, with a calculated probability of 75.98%. Chelsea have been prolific at home, averaging 2.39 goals per match, while Liverpool boast an impressive 2.14 goals per match on their travels. Historically, their fixtures average 2.2 goals per game, but with both sides demonstrating consistent scoring form recently, a high-scoring affair seems highly likely.

Secondary bet: Both Teams To Score: Yes @ 1/2

The Both Teams To Score: Yes bet is equally well-supported, with a 56.41% probability reflecting both teams' attacking reliability. Chelsea have found the net in each of their last five matches, while Liverpool have scored in their last six. Although Chelsea have struggled in head-to-head encounters with Liverpool, their strong home record this season (10 wins, 5 draws, 2 losses) combined with Liverpool's excellent away form (11 wins, 5 draws, 1 loss) suggests a competitive fixture where both sides are likely to get on the scoresheet.

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