Inter Milan vs Cagliari predictions & betting tips
Discover why Inter's formidable home record of 11 wins this season makes them overwhelming favorites as they host struggling Cagliari at the iconic Giuseppe Meazza.
Inter Milan and Cagliari are set to clash this Saturday, 12 April, at the renowned Giuseppe Meazza stadium in a Serie A match that sees the league leaders face a team battling relegation. Inter, currently at the top of the table, are on an impressive nine-match unbeaten streak, while Cagliari, positioned 15th, have secured only one victory in their last five games. The stakes are high as Inter aim to solidify their title aspirations and Cagliari fight to avoid the drop.
Historically, this fixture has favoured Inter Milan, who have won 30 of their 53 encounters with Cagliari, including eight victories in their last ten meetings. Cagliari have not managed a win at the Giuseppe Meazza since 2016, underscoring the challenge they face. Matches between these teams often provide excitement, averaging 3.4 goals per game, but Inter's potent attack might overwhelm Cagliari's vulnerable defense.
Key players to watch include Marcus Thuram for Inter, who has scored 14 goals this season and has been instrumental in their strong home record of 11 wins, three draws, and one loss. For Cagliari, Roberto Piccoli, their leading scorer with seven goals, will be crucial in their attempt to cause an upset. However, with an average of only 0.91 goals per game away from home, Cagliari face a significant challenge in breaking through Inter's solid defense.
Tactically, Inter's offensive strength, supported by a league-best goal difference of +39, presents a formidable obstacle for Cagliari, whose defensive frailties have been evident throughout the season. For Cagliari, capitalizing on any rare mistakes by Inter will be essential, but their lack of success in away games positions them as clear underdogs. As the match approaches, the question remains whether Cagliari can defy the odds or if Inter Milan will continue their dominant path towards Serie A triumph.
Inter Milan - Cagliari Key Facts
Inter Milan impressive home record against Cagliari, remaining unbeaten in their last 19 home matches and winning 17 of the last 27 encounters, strongly supports this bet. Additionally, Cagliari's struggles on the road, failing to win any of their last 5 away matches and not scoring in 7 of their 15 away games this season, further reinforce the likelihood of this outcome.
Inter Milan have scored at least one goal in their last 10 matches and average 2.1 goals per home game. Meanwhile, Cagliari average just 0.91 goals away, suggesting that Inter Milan's attacking prowess could lead to a high-scoring performance in this fixture.
Betting Predictions
Primary Bet:Home Win @ 33/100
Inter Milan's exceptional home form makes the "home win" bet a compelling option. Boasting a 77.88% home win rate against Cagliari and currently on an impressive streak of eight consecutive home victories, Inter are undeniably on form. In contrast, Cagliari have struggled on their travels, failing to win any of their last five away fixtures and going winless in their previous seven visits to the San Siro. Coupled with Inter's ongoing three-match winning streak in Serie A, the evidence strongly supports a home triumph.
Secondary Bet:Over 2.5 Goals @ 73/100
The "over 2.5 goals" bet is equally appealing, underpinned by the high-scoring nature of past meetings between these sides, which average 3.4 goals per match. Inter Milan have been prolific at home, averaging 2.1 goals per game, while Cagliari's defensive frailties on the road see them conceding an average of 2.8 goals. Inter's consistency in front of goal, having scored in 10 consecutive matches, further strengthens this prediction. While Cagliari's lack of attacking threat away from home introduces a minor risk, Inter's attacking prowess should ensure this bet delivers value.
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