The Bundesliga title race reaches a boiling point this Sunday as Bayer Leverkusen welcome Borussia Dortmund to the BayArena. Leverkusen, sitting second in the table, hold a slender three-point lead over fifth-placed Dortmund, making this a pivotal clash. While Leverkusen aim to keep their championship ambitions alive, Dortmund are determined to strengthen their push for European qualification. Both sides arrive in fine form, with Leverkusen unbeaten in their last four matches and Dortmund extending their streak to five. Supporters can expect a high-stakes encounter that could shape the season for both teams.
Leverkusen’s impressive home record—10 wins, 4 draws, and just 2 losses—gives them a significant edge. Their attacking firepower, underscored by a +31 goal difference, has been a key factor in their success. Patrik Schick, tied as the league’s top scorer with 19 goals, will be crucial in unlocking Dortmund’s defence. Meanwhile, Dortmund’s inconsistency on the road, including failing to score in four away matches this season, could prove costly. With Leverkusen netting 21% of their goals just before halftime, an early statement from the hosts could set the tone.
Individual brilliance is likely to decide this contest. Schick’s clinical finishing for Leverkusen and Serhou Guirassy’s leadership in Dortmund’s attack, also with 19 goals, make them the standout players to watch. Midfield creators Florian Wirtz and Pascal Gross could also play decisive roles in crafting opportunities. Historically, Dortmund have a slight upper hand in this rivalry, winning 25 of their last 65 meetings, but Leverkusen’s narrow victory in their previous encounter may provide a psychological boost.
Bayer Leverkusen - Borussia Dortmund Key Facts
Borussia Dortmund have a strong recent record against Bayer Leverkusen, having lost just 1 of their last 5 encounters in all competitions, which suggests they are well-equipped to handle the pressure in this matchup.
Bayer Leverkusen have only won 1 of their last 5 Bundesliga games against Borussia Dortmund, indicating a potential struggle for them to secure points in this fixture.
The average number of goals in matches between these two teams is 2.4, with Borussia Dortmund scoring an average of 1.4 goals per game against Bayer Leverkusen, highlighting a tendency for high-scoring encounters that could influence betting on total goals.
Bayer Leverkusen vs Borussia Dortmund Betting Predictions
Primary bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 1/2
The clash between Bayer Leverkusen and Borussia Dortmund promises plenty of action, making over 2.5 goals the standout betting option. With an 83.84% probability based on predictive models, the attacking tendencies of both sides strongly favour this outcome. Leverkusen average 2.07 goals per match at home, while Dortmund contribute 1.55 goals per fixture on their travels. Historical encounters further support this, with an average of 2.4 goals per match between the two. Combined with both teams' recent attacking form, this bet offers excellent value.
Secondary bet: Home Win @ 17/10
Backing a Bayer Leverkusen home win at 17/10 also presents a compelling opportunity. Leverkusen boast an impressive 10-4-2 home record this season and are currently unbeaten in their last four matches. While Dortmund arrive on a four-match winning streak, Leverkusen’s home advantage and consistency give them the edge. Additionally, Dortmund’s disciplinary struggles, including the highest number of red cards in the Bundesliga, could disrupt their rhythm. With a 61.62% probability of a Leverkusen victory, this bet offers strong potential for those seeking higher returns.
