The Serie A showdown between Bologna and Juventus on Sunday, 4 May, carries immense significance as both sides battle for European qualification. With just one point separating them—Juventus in fourth and Bologna in fifth—this clash at the Renato Dall’Ara could be pivotal in shaping the final weeks of their campaigns. Bologna’s impressive home form, unbeaten in their last 11 matches, sets the stage for a fierce contest against a Juventus side with a history of dominance in this fixture.
Bologna’s home advantage will face a stern test against Juventus’s remarkable record in this rivalry. The Turin side have not lost an away match to Bologna since 1998, a streak that casts a long shadow over this encounter. However, Bologna’s resilience at home, where they average 1.96 goals per game, could pose a serious challenge to Juventus, who hold a slightly superior goal difference of +20. While Juventus have won six of their last 11 meetings, Bologna’s recent performances suggest they are capable of rewriting the script.
Key players Riccardo Orsolini and Dusan Vlahovic are likely to be decisive. Orsolini, Bologna’s top scorer with 12 goals, has been instrumental in their attacking success, particularly on home soil. Meanwhile, Vlahovic’s nine goals this season underline his knack for delivering in crucial moments, often in the dying stages of matches. Their individual brilliance could prove the difference in what promises to be a tightly contested affair.
With Bologna’s inconsistent recent form (D W W L D) contrasting with Juventus’s stronger momentum (W L W D W), both teams are under pressure to secure a vital win. The outcome will not only influence their European ambitions but could also redefine Bologna’s historical struggles against Juventus. As the final whistle looms, this fixture has all the makings of a defining moment in the Serie A season.
Bologna - Juventus Key Facts
Juventus have an outstanding historical advantage over Bologna, winning 36 out of the last 53 encounters, which includes 18 victories in their last 26 visits to Bologna, highlighting their dominance in this fixture and making them a strong bet for victory.
Bologna are unbeaten in their last 11 home matches, indicating a solid home form that could challenge Juventus, but their inability to secure a win against Juventus in their last five Serie A meetings suggests a potential struggle to maintain this streak.
The average number of goals in matches between Bologna and Juventus is 3.4, with Juventus scoring an average of 2 goals per game against Bologna, suggesting that betting on over 2.5 goals could be a lucrative option given the attacking capabilities of both teams.
Betting Predictions
Primary bet:Over 2.5 goals @ 69/50
Recent trends and head-to-head statistics between Bologna and Juventus strongly back the primary bet of over 2.5 goals. Their meetings have averaged 3.4 goals per match, with notable recent results including a 3-3 thriller and a 1-1 draw. Bologna boast an impressive home scoring average of 1.96 goals per match, while Juventus contribute 1.23 goals per game on their travels. Bologna's attacking approach at home, where they remain unbeaten in their last 11 fixtures, often leads to open, high-scoring encounters, further reinforcing the likelihood of a goal-filled match.
Secondary bet:Home Win @ 7/5
For the secondary bet, Bologna's formidable home record this season—10 wins, 6 draws, and just 1 defeat—makes them a strong candidate for victory. Juventus, meanwhile, have shown inconsistency away from home, failing to score in 4 of their 16 Serie A away fixtures. While Juventus traditionally dominate this fixture, Bologna's current form, spearheaded by top scorer Riccardo Orsolini, positions them well to exploit Juventus's vulnerabilities on the road. This creates a valuable opportunity to back a home win.
