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Fiorentina vs Bologna: 68% Chance of Over 2.5 Goals in Serie A Showdown

Uncover the crucial edge as the Viola boast 13 home wins in their last 23 clashes with Bologna, and leverage this dominant Stadio Artemio Franchi record for smarter Serie A betting decisions.

Sporticos By Sporticos, Team
Published: 14:45, 17 May 2025
Sporticos

Who will win?

Fiorentina
X
Bologna

Fiorentina and Bologna are set to clash at the Stadio Artemio Franchi this Sunday in a pivotal Serie A match, with European qualification aspirations on the line. Fiorentina, currently in 9th place with 59 points, trail Bologna, who sit in 7th with 62 points. A victory for either team could significantly impact their potential of securing some form of European qualification as the season nears its conclusion.

The teams enter this encounter with contrasting recent performances. Fiorentina have struggled for consistency, securing only one win in their last five matches (L D L L W). Conversely, Bologna have demonstrated resilience, achieving two victories in the same period (W L D D W). Fiorentina's strong home record, remaining unbeaten in their last eight matches at the Artemio Franchi and averaging 2.11 goals per game, could be a decisive factor. Bologna, however, have faced challenges in scoring on the road, averaging just 1.04 goals per match.

The historical rivalry between these teams adds further intrigue to the fixture. Fiorentina have dominated at home, winning 13 of their last 23 meetings with Bologna at this venue. However, Bologna will draw confidence from their 1-0 victory in the reverse fixture earlier this season. Key players such as Moise Kean, leading Fiorentina's attack with 17 goals, and Riccardo Orsolini, instrumental for Bologna with 13 goals this campaign, could play decisive roles in the outcome.

As the season approaches its climax, this match holds significant implications for both clubs. Fiorentina aim to leverage their home advantage to sustain their European ambitions, while Bologna seek to solidify their position in the top seven. Fans can anticipate a fiercely contested match that could shape the fortunes of both teams.

Fiorentina - Bologna Key Facts

  • Fiorentina's strong home record against Bologna, with 13 wins in their last 23 encounters, underscores their dominance in this fixture. This historical performance suggests a favourable outcome for Fiorentina, making them a solid choice for punters.

  • Considering Fiorentina's recent defensive vulnerabilities, having conceded in their last 7 matches, and Bologna's consistent scoring ability, betting on both teams to score appears to be a prudent option.

Fiorentina vs Bologna Betting Predictions

Primary Bet:Over 2.5 Goals @ 13/10

The "over 2.5 goals" market offers excellent value at 13/10, supported by a compelling 68.02% probability of success. Fiorentina have been prolific at home, averaging 2.11 goals per match, while Bologna’s defensive frailties on the road—conceding an average of 1.04 goals per away fixture—further bolster the case for a high-scoring affair. Both sides have shown defensive vulnerabilities, with Fiorentina failing to keep a clean sheet in their last seven matches. These factors combine to suggest a strong likelihood of goals, making this bet particularly appealing.

Secondary Bet:Home Win @ 9/5

Backing Fiorentina for a "home win" at 9/5 also holds merit, given their impressive home record against Bologna, with 13 victories in their last 23 meetings. Fiorentina are unbeaten in their last eight home fixtures, demonstrating their strength at the Stadio Artemio Franchi. While Bologna have displayed consistency of late, their struggles away to Fiorentina remain a concern. With the home side’s historical dominance and current resilience, this bet provides solid value for punters.

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