The Millerntor-Stadion is set to host a pivotal Bundesliga clash this Saturday as St Pauli face Bochum in a dead rubber. St Pauli, currently 14th in the standings, have secured their place in the top flight for next season, while bottom-placed Bochum are long since relegated.
St Pauli has shown slightly better form in recent games, earning five points from their last five matches (D L D D W). In contrast, Bochum has struggled significantly, collecting only two points during the same period (L D D L L). Bochum's poor away record, with just two wins all season, further complicates their challenge, especially against a St Pauli side known for their late-game heroics, with 38% of their goals scored in the final 15 minutes. However, St Pauli's inconsistency at home, including 10 goalless matches this season, remains a concern.
The head-to-head record between these teams adds another layer of intrigue. St Pauli has won 10 of their last 29 meetings, while Bochum has claimed seven victories. Despite this, Bochum may hold a psychological advantage, as St Pauli has failed to defeat them in their last five encounters. A 1-1 draw, the most common result between these sides, could be a likely outcome, though it would leave Bochum in a precarious position.
Individual performances could play a decisive role in this match. For St Pauli, Morgan Guilavogui's midfield presence and Jackson Irvine's leadership will be crucial. Meanwhile, Bochum will rely on Myron Boadu to end his scoring drought and Felix Passlack to strengthen their defence.
St Pauli - Bochum Key Facts
St Pauli have demonstrated a strong historical advantage when playing at home against Bochum, securing victories in 6 out of their last 14 encounters. This record includes a notable goal difference of 23-12, underscoring their formidable presence on their home turf.
Bochum, on the other hand, are currently experiencing a challenging period, remaining winless in their last 7 matches. This dip in form could significantly impact their performance and influence betting odds unfavourably.
The average number of goals scored in matches between these two teams stands at 2.8. St Pauli concedes an average of 1.8 goals per match against Bochum, indicating a high probability of goals in this fixture, which is a critical factor for over/under betting markets.
St Pauli vs Bochum Betting Predictions
Primary Bet:Over 2.5 goals @ 4/7
St. Pauli’s upcoming fixture against Bochum offers a strong opportunity for a high-scoring match, underpinned by both historical data and statistical analysis. Their previous meetings have averaged 2.8 goals per match, with the probability of "over 2.5 goals" calculated at 71.26%. This trend highlights the likelihood of an open, attacking encounter, making the over 2.5 goals market the standout betting choice.
Secondary Bet:Home Win @ 8/13
For the secondary bet, St. Pauli’s home advantage combined with Bochum’s poor away record makes a "home win" an appealing option. St. Pauli have secured victory in 6 of their last 14 home matches against Bochum, while Bochum have managed just 2 wins in 16 away fixtures this season. Although St. Pauli have occasionally struggled to find the net at home, their historical dominance in this matchup and Bochum’s ongoing away-day woes provide strong justification for backing the hosts to take all three points.
