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  4. Stuttgart vs Augsburg: 8 Wins in 12—Home Dominance & 81% Over 2.5 Goals in Bundesliga Clash

Stuttgart vs Augsburg: 8 Wins in 12—Home Dominance & 81% Over 2.5 Goals in Bundesliga Clash

Uncover why the Swabians have dominated their last seven home clashes against Augsburg and leverage key stats to make smarter Bundesliga betting predictions for Sunday’s showdown at Mercedes Benz Arena.

Sporticos By Sporticos, Team
Published: 07:30, 10 May 2025
Sporticos

Who will win?

VfB Stuttgart
X
Augsburg

Stuttgart and Augsburg are set to clash this Sunday in a Bundesliga fixture at the Mercedes Benz Arena. With just one point separating Stuttgart in 10th and Augsburg in 11th, this mid-table battle carries significant weight. Both sides are eager for a victory—not only to climb the table but also to dispel any lingering relegation worries. Stuttgart, buoyed by a strong home record, will look to make the most of their advantage, while Augsburg aim to turn around their poor away form.

Stuttgart have historically dominated this fixture, winning eight of the last ten meetings, including a narrow 1-0 triumph in their most recent encounter. Augsburg’s struggles at the Mercedes Benz Arena are well-documented, with their last away victory against Stuttgart coming in 2015. Adding to Stuttgart’s confidence is their unbeaten streak in the last seven home matches against Augsburg. However, with an average of just 1.6 goals per game in their head-to-head history, supporters might expect another closely fought contest.

Recent form also favours Stuttgart, who have picked up two wins in their last five matches, compared to Augsburg’s solitary victory in the same period. Stuttgart’s attacking strength at home is evident, averaging 2.14 goals per game, spearheaded by Ermedin Demirovic, who has netted 13 times this season. Augsburg, on the other hand, have struggled offensively on the road, managing just 1.27 goals per game. Alexis Claude-Maurice, with nine goals to his name, will need to deliver a standout performance if Augsburg are to trouble Stuttgart’s defence.

VfB Stuttgart - Augsburg Key Facts

  • Stuttgart have an impressive home record against Augsburg, winning 8 of their last 12 encounters at home, which highlights their dominance and makes them strong favourites for this match.

  • Augsburg are winless in their last 4 matches against VfB Stuttgart, indicating a significant psychological advantage for Stuttgart and suggesting a potential continuation of this trend.

  • VfB Stuttgart have scored an average of 2.14 goals per home match, while Augsburg average just 1.27 goals per away match, underscoring Stuttgart's attacking prowess and Augsburg's struggles on the road.

VfB Stuttgart vs Augsburg Betting Predictions

Primary bet: Home Win @ 11/20

Stuttgart's impressive home record against Augsburg makes the Home Win an excellent choice. They have triumphed in 8 of their last 12 home fixtures against Augsburg and are unbeaten in their last 7 meetings on home soil. Last season, Stuttgart dominated both encounters, including a commanding 3-0 victory at home. Their attacking prowess is evident, averaging 2.14 goals per match at home this season, compared to Augsburg's modest 1.27 goals per match away. This offensive superiority strongly supports the primary betting recommendation.

Secondary bet: Over 2.5 Goals @ 8/15

The Over 2.5 Goals market is backed by an 80.82% probability, reflecting Stuttgart's high-scoring tendencies at home. While historical clashes between these sides average just 1.6 goals per match, Stuttgart's current attacking form suggests a more open, goal-filled encounter. Augsburg's inconsistency in front of goal—failing to score in 5 of their last 16 away matches—could lead to a one-sided affair if Stuttgart seize control early. Although their head-to-head fixtures tend to start slowly, with an average of 0.8 first-half goals, the likelihood of a second-half surge makes this a strong secondary bet.

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