Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid predictions & betting tips

The Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan is set to host a high-stakes LaLiga clash this Sunday, 6 April, as Sevilla take on Atletico Madrid in a fixture with significant implications for both sides. Atletico, currently third in the table, are aiming to solidify their Champions League spot, while Sevilla, sitting 11th, are desperate to end their winless home streak. Both teams come into this encounter under pressure following recent defeats, adding to the intensity of this pivotal showdown.

Atletico arrive as favourites, having dominated this fixture in recent years with six wins from the last 13 meetings. Sevilla, by contrast, have struggled for consistency, managing just one victory in their last five LaLiga games against Atletico. Their home form is equally concerning, with no wins in their last five matches at the Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan. Atletico’s impressive away scoring average of 2.03 goals per match further highlights their threat on the road.

Historically, Sevilla have enjoyed a stronger home record against Atletico, winning 15 of their last 31 meetings in Seville. However, recent results suggest a shift in momentum, with Atletico edging the last encounter 1-0. The psychological impact of these outcomes could be pivotal, particularly for Sevilla, who will look to their late-game scoring prowess—28% of their goals come in the final 15 minutes—to make a difference. Atletico, however, are equally potent in the same period, with 36% of their goals scored late on.

Key players are likely to shape the outcome. Youssef En-Nesyri’s ability to deliver in crucial moments could be Sevilla’s best hope, while Antoine Griezmann’s outstanding away form remains a constant danger for Atletico. With both teams under immense pressure to deliver, this promises to be a fiercely contested battle. Whether it’s Atletico’s pursuit of Champions League football or Sevilla’s fight for redemption, the stakes couldn’t be higher in this crucial LaLiga encounter.

Sevilla - Atletico Madrid Key Facts

• Atletico Madrid have lost just 1 of their last 5 encounters against Sevilla across all competitions, indicating a strong recent form against this opponent that could influence betting on their chances of winning.

• Sevilla have not won any of their last 5 home matches, which raises concerns about their current form and could sway punters towards backing Atletico Madrid for an away victory.

• The average number of goals in matches between Sevilla and Atletico Madrid is 2.4, suggesting that betting on over 2.5 goals could be a viable option, given the attacking capabilities of both teams.

Betting Predictions

Primary Bet:Away Win @ 6/5

Atletico Madrid's recent superiority over Sevilla makes the "away win" an enticing option. They have triumphed in three of their last five encounters and have found the net in 15 consecutive matches, underlining their attacking consistency. Meanwhile, Sevilla are struggling on home soil, failing to secure a victory in their last five home fixtures. With Atletico Madrid enjoying a stronger overall campaign in LaLiga this season, the 6/5 odds for an away win represent excellent value, especially given Sevilla's ongoing vulnerabilities.

Secondary Bet:Over 2.5 Goals @ 6/5

The secondary bet of "over 2.5 goals" is well-supported by both sides' scoring patterns and defensive frailties. Sevilla average 1 goal per home match, while Atletico Madrid boast an impressive 2.03 goals per match away from home. Their recent head-to-head clashes have produced an average of 2.4 goals, and both teams have shown defensive lapses. With a calculated probability of 69.39% for over 2.5 goals and odds of 6/5, this bet offers strong value in what could be an open, high-scoring affair.