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Arsenal vs Bournemouth predictions & betting tips

Uncover why the Gunners’ flawless home record against the Cherries could be the key to unlocking the smartest Premier League bets for Arsenal vs Bournemouth at Emirates Stadium this Saturday.

Sporticos By Sporticos, Team
Published: 11:30, 2 May 2025
Sporticos

Who will win?

Arsenal
X
Bournemouth

The Emirates Stadium will host a Premier League clash this Saturday as Arsenal welcome Bournemouth in a meeting of contrasting ambitions. Arsenal, sitting second in the table, are firmly in the title race and arrive with an impressive 12-game unbeaten run. Bournemouth, currently 10th, are aiming to consolidate their mid-table position but face a tough challenge, having managed just one win in their last five matches.

Arsenal’s home form has been pivotal to their campaign, with 10 wins, six draws, and only one defeat at the Emirates. The Gunners have dominated Bournemouth on home soil, winning their last seven meetings with a commanding aggregate score of 20-4. Averaging 2.12 goals per match at home, Arsenal’s attacking firepower is matched by a solid defence, as evidenced by their +34 goal difference. Kai Havertz, with nine goals this season, will be key to spearheading their attack once again.

Bournemouth, meanwhile, must overcome their inconsistent away form to stand a chance. While they average 1.61 goals per match on the road, 35% of their goals have come in the final 15 minutes, showcasing their knack for late drama. Justin Kluivert, the Cherries’ top scorer with 12 goals, will be crucial as they look to capitalise on any lapses in Arsenal’s concentration. However, Bournemouth’s recent struggles and their poor record at the Emirates underline the scale of the challenge they face.

This fixture is about more than just three points—it could be a defining moment for both teams. Arsenal need to maintain their unbeaten streak to keep their title hopes alive, while Bournemouth are desperate to defy the odds and climb the table. With a history of high-scoring encounters and contrasting styles on display, this promises to be a thrilling contest that could shape the course of both campaigns.

Arsenal - Bournemouth Key Facts

  • Arsenal have an impeccable home record against Bournemouth, winning all of their last 7 encounters at the Emirates with a goal difference of 20-4, making them strong favourites for this match.

  • Arsenal are unbeaten in their last 12 matches overall and have not lost any of their last 6 home games, indicating a solid form that punters should consider when placing bets.

  • Historically, Arsenal has won 12 of the last 17 meetings against Bournemouth, with an average of 2.2 goals scored per match, suggesting a high likelihood of Arsenal securing a convincing victory.

Betting Predictions

Primary bet:Home Win@ 21/20

Arsenal’s commanding record against Bournemouth at the Emirates makes the home win an excellent betting option. The Gunners have triumphed in all seven of their previous home fixtures against Bournemouth and are currently enjoying a 12-match unbeaten run. This season, Arsenal’s home form has been formidable, with 10 wins, 6 draws, and just 1 defeat, underlining their dominance on their own pitch. Furthermore, Arsenal have won 4 of their last 5 encounters with Bournemouth, highlighting a consistent historical edge. With a 60.62% probability for a home win and attractive odds, this bet offers strong value for punters.

Secondary bet:Over 2.5 Goals@ 10/11

The secondary bet of over 2.5 goals is well-supported by the scoring trends in this fixture. Matches between these sides average 3.2 goals per game, and Arsenal have found the net in each of their last 11 matches, averaging 2.12 goals per game at home. While Bournemouth have been inconsistent in front of goal away from home, their average of 1.61 goals per away match suggests they can contribute to the total. Given Arsenal’s attacking firepower and Bournemouth’s defensive frailties, this selection aligns with the statistical likelihood of a high-scoring affair.

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