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Udinese vs AC Milan predictions & betting tips

Uncover the crucial betting insights for Friday's Serie A clash between Udinese and the Rossoneri, where AC Milan's dramatic fall from last season's 2nd place to their current 9th position could significantly impact match dynamics at Stadio Friuli.

Sporticos By Sporticos, Team
Published: 15:40, 10 Apr 2025

The Stadio Friuli sets the stage for a crucial Serie A showdown this Friday as Udinese host AC Milan.

Udinese are desperate to end a three-match losing streak, while AC Milan aim to build on their recent upturn, having won two of their last three matches. Both teams are under pressure to deliver, making this a must-watch encounter.

Recent form highlights contrasting fortunes. Udinese are winless in their last four outings, struggling defensively with a -5 goal difference. However, their average of 1.74 goals per home game offers a glimmer of hope. AC Milan, meanwhile, have showcased attacking consistency, scoring in nine consecutive matches, though their defensive frailties persist, conceding in each of their last eight games. This sets the stage for what could be a high-scoring affair.

Historically, AC Milan have dominated this fixture, winning 32 of their 65 meetings, including a narrow 1-0 victory in their most recent clash. Udinese’s home advantage has often fallen short against the Rossoneri, with the most common result at Stadio Friuli being a 2-1 win for the visitors. However, Udinese will look to rewrite the script, buoyed by their improved league position compared to last season’s 14th-place finish.

Udinese - AC Milan Key Facts

  • AC Milan have a strong historical advantage over Udinese, winning 32 out of the last 65 encounters, which highlights their dominance and makes them a more reliable choice for punters.

  • Udinese are currently on a three-match losing streak in Serie A and have not won in their last four games, indicating poor form that could affect their performance against a stronger opponent like Milan.

  • The average number of goals in matches between these two teams is 3.4, suggesting a high-scoring affair is likely, which could influence bets on total goals or over/under markets.

Betting Predictions

Primary Bet:Over 2.5 goals @ 91/100

Udinese and AC Milan’s recent meetings have averaged an impressive 3.4 goals per match, strongly indicating the potential for a high-scoring affair. Udinese boast an average of 1.74 goals per match at home, while AC Milan register 1.57 goals per match on their travels. These figures, combined with AC Milan scoring in each of their last nine fixtures and their defensive frailties—conceding in their last eight—make the "over 2.5 goals" market particularly appealing.

Secondary Bet:Both Teams To Score: Yes @ 3/4

The secondary bet, "Both Teams to Score", is supported by a statistical probability of 57.01%. AC Milan’s attacking consistency, highlighted by their nine-match scoring streak, coupled with Udinese’s historical average of 1.6 goals per match against Milan, strengthens the case for both sides finding the net. While Udinese’s recent form raises minor concerns, AC Milan’s defensive vulnerabilities and the competitive nature of this fixture suggest a strong likelihood of goals from both teams.

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