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Roma vs AC Milan: 82% Chance of 3+ Goals in Serie A Showdown

Uncover the key stats behind AS Roma’s 16-match home unbeaten streak as they host the Rossoneri—fuel your Serie A betting strategy with expert insights before Sunday’s showdown at Stadio Olimpico.

Sporticos By Sporticos, Team
Published: 14:45, 17 May 2025
Sporticos

Who will win?

Roma
X
AC Milan

The stage is set for a high-stakes Serie A clash as Roma welcome Milan to the Stadio Olimpico on Sunday, 18 May 2025, at 19:45. With both teams battling for European qualification, the stakes could not be higher. Roma currently sit sixth in Serie A, while Milan trail in eighth, making this clash crucial for their respective ambitions. Both sides are coming off recent defeats, adding urgency to their need for a result. A win for Roma would strengthen their grip on a top-six finish, while Milan aim to close the gap and reach some form of UEFA competition for next season.

This historic rivalry has always been fiercely contested. Milan hold a slight edge with 28 wins in their last 73 meetings, but Roma have proven formidable at home, winning 14 of their last 36 encounters at the Olimpico. The Rossoneri’s 2-0 victory in their previous meeting may weigh on Roma’s minds, yet the hosts have lost just once in their last five clashes with Milan, underlining their resilience. With an average of 3.4 goals per match in this fixture, supporters can anticipate another thrilling chapter in this storied contest.

Recent form adds further intrigue. Roma are unbeaten in their last seven matches and boast an impressive 16-game home streak without defeat. Milan, however, arrive with a four-match winning run on the road, showcasing their strength away from San Siro. Both teams have a flair for late drama, with Roma scoring 24% of their goals between the 61st and 75th minutes, while Milan net 28% in the final 15. A dramatic finish could well be on the cards.

Key players will likely decide the outcome. Artem Dovbyk leads Roma’s attack with 12 goals this season, while Christian Pulisic has been pivotal for Milan, netting 11. With Roma scoring in 21 consecutive matches and Milan’s impressive away form, this clash promises to be as much about pride as it is about points. A victory here could reshape the European race and reignite one of Serie A’s great rivalries.

Roma - AC Milan Key Facts

  • Roma are unbeaten in their last 16 home matches, which highlights their strong home form and makes them a formidable opponent for any visiting team, including AC Milan.

  • Milan have won their last two encounters against Roma, including a 3-1 victory at home and a 2-1 win away last season, indicating a psychological edge in their recent head-to-head meetings.

  • Roma have scored at least one goal in 21 consecutive matches, showcasing their attacking consistency and making them likely to find the net against Milan, who have conceded in their last few outings.

Roma vs AC Milan Betting Predictions

Primary Bet:Over 2.5 Goals @ 8/11

The upcoming fixture between Roma and AC Milan promises plenty of goal-scoring action, with both sides in strong attacking form. Historical trends strongly back the "over 2.5 goals" bet, with an impressive 81.81% probability and an average of 3.4 goals per game in their recent head-to-head encounters. Roma have been prolific at home, averaging 1.97 goals per match, while Milan have been equally effective on the road, netting 1.74 goals per away fixture. Both teams will be eager to respond after recent setbacks, which could result in an open, end-to-end contest.

Secondary Bet:Both Teams to Score @ 8/13

The "both teams to score" market also offers excellent value, supported by a 63.36% probability. Roma have scored in an impressive 21 consecutive matches, while Milan have found the back of the net in 17 of their last 18 away games, underlining their attacking consistency. Defensive frailties on both sides, combined with their offensive prowess, further strengthen this selection. With both teams in good form and a history of high-scoring, competitive matches, these bets provide strong potential for returns.

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