The Luigi Ferraris Stadium is set to host a Serie A match on Monday, 5 May, as Genoa faces AC Milan in a game that could significantly impact their respective seasons. Genoa, currently 13th with 39 points, are striving to secure their place in the top flight, while AC Milan, sitting 9th with 54 points, aim for a late push towards European qualification.
Genoa has faced challenges in scoring, failing to find the net in their last three matches. Their home performance has also been concerning, with the team going scoreless in five of their 17 games at the Luigi Ferraris this season. While 38% of their goals have been scored in the latter stages of matches, this reactive strategy may not suffice against AC Milan's resilient defense. Genoa must address their scoring issues to avoid being drawn closer to the relegation zone.
Conversely, AC Milan enters this match with strong momentum. The Rossoneri have excelled in away games, averaging 1.73 goals per match and securing victories in their last three away fixtures. Their offensive capabilities could exploit Genoa's defensive vulnerabilities, especially given the hosts' recent scoring struggles. With European competition still within reach, Milan's confidence is bolstered by their current form and a favorable head-to-head record.
Historically, AC Milan has dominated this fixture, winning 21 of their last 38 encounters with Genoa. The hosts have not defeated Milan at home since 2016, presenting a psychological challenge they must overcome. As Genoa battles for survival and AC Milan pursues European aspirations, this high-stakes Serie A clash is poised to deliver an intense and captivating contest.
Genoa - AC Milan Key Facts
AC Milan have an impressive record against Genoa, winning 21 out of the last 38 encounters, which highlights their dominance in this fixture and suggests a strong likelihood of victory for punters backing the Rossoneri.
Genoa have failed to score in their last three matches and have not found the net in 5 of their 17 home Serie A games this season, indicating significant struggles in attack that could lead to a low-scoring match.
AC Milan are unbeaten in their last five Serie A matches against Genoa, winning three and drawing two, reinforcing their current form and making them a reliable choice for bettors looking for consistent performance.
Betting Predictions
Primary bet: Away Win (AC Milan) @ 3/4
AC Milan approach this fixture with a clear upper hand, both historically and in current form. They have triumphed in 21 of their last 38 meetings with Genoa and are riding the momentum of a three-match away winning streak. Additionally, they remain unbeaten in their last five Serie A clashes against Genoa. In contrast, Genoa are struggling in attack, having failed to score in their last three matches. With odds of 3/4, backing AC Milan to secure the win represents strong value, given their dominance and Genoa’s ongoing struggles.
Secondary bet: Over 2.5 Goals @ 10/11
The secondary bet on Over 2.5 Goals is well-supported by the numbers. Matches between these sides average 2.6 goals, and AC Milan have been prolific on the road, scoring an average of 1.73 goals per match. Genoa, despite their recent issues, average 1.3 goals at home, suggesting they could still contribute to the total. Last season’s dramatic 3-3 draw further highlights the potential for a high-scoring encounter. At odds of 10/11, this market offers excellent value, particularly with AC Milan’s attacking prowess and Genoa’s defensive frailties.
