Tottenham vs Southampton predictions & betting tips

The Premier League presents a pivotal match as Tottenham Hotspur host Southampton at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium on Sunday, 6 April 2025. Both teams are in dire need of points, albeit for different reasons. Tottenham, positioned 14th with 34 points, aim to recover from a challenging season, while Southampton, at the bottom with nine points, seek to avoid relegation. With both sides coming off losses in their previous games, the stakes are exceptionally high in this anticipated encounter.

Historically, Tottenham have dominated this fixture, securing six wins in the last 11 meetings, including a decisive 5-0 victory in their most recent clash. Their home record against Southampton is particularly strong, with 18 wins from the last 24 matches. Encounters between these teams often deliver excitement, averaging 4.6 goals per game, suggesting a potentially thrilling match. However, Southampton's poor away performance—only one win in 15 attempts this season—raises doubts about their ability to secure a positive result.

Recent form slightly favours Tottenham despite their defensive vulnerabilities, having conceded in their last six matches. Conversely, Southampton are enduring a six-match losing streak, highlighting their inconsistency. Tottenham's Son Heung-min continues to be a key playmaker with nine assists this season, while Southampton will rely on Mateus Fernandes, their leading assist provider with three, to spark their attack.

This match holds significant implications for both teams. For Tottenham, it is a chance to regain momentum and improve their league standing. For Southampton, it represents a critical opportunity to revive their survival hopes. Given Tottenham's strong home advantage and Southampton's ongoing struggles on the road, the outcome of this match could influence the remainder of their seasons. Fans eagerly await to see which team will rise to the occasion in this crucial showdown.

Tottenham Hotspur - Southampton Key Facts

• Tottenham have an impressive home record against Southampton, winning 18 of their last 24 encounters at home, which highlights their dominance and makes them strong favourites for this match.

• Southampton are currently on a dismal run, having lost their last six matches, indicating a significant decline in form that could impact their performance against a confident Spurs side.

• Tottenham have scored an average of 2.03 goals at home this season, while Southampton have struggled defensively, conceding in each of their last 10 matches, suggesting a high likelihood of Spurs finding the net multiple times.

Betting Predictions

Primary Bet:Home Win @ 19/50

Tottenham’s impressive home record against Southampton makes the "home win" a strong betting option. They have triumphed in 18 of their last 24 home fixtures against Southampton and are enjoying a far superior Premier League campaign this season. In stark contrast, Southampton are enduring a torrid run of form, having lost their last six matches and suffering defeat in 12 of their 15 away fixtures. Historical data further bolsters this prediction, with Tottenham victorious in 26 of their previous 50 encounters and the most frequent home result being a 2-1 win.

Secondary Bet:Over 2.5 Goals @ 2/5

The "over 2.5 goals" market also presents excellent value, supported by a high-scoring history between these sides, averaging 4.6 goals per match. Tottenham have been prolific at home, netting an average of 2.03 goals per game, while Southampton’s defensive frailties on the road have seen them concede heavily. Both teams have struggled defensively, with Tottenham failing to keep a clean sheet in their last six matches and Southampton consistently leaking goals. With an 87.28% probability for over 2.5 goals, this bet aligns with both historical trends and current form, making it a highly appealing choice.