Eintracht Frankfurt will host St. Pauli at Deutsche Bank Park this Sunday, 11 May 2025, at 16:30, in a Bundesliga match. Frankfurt, currently third with 56 points, are vying for Champions League qualification, while St. Pauli, in 14th place with 31 points, are fighting to avoid relegation. This game highlights the contrasting objectives of the two teams, with one aiming for European competition and the other battling for survival.
Frankfurt’s strong home record could be a decisive factor. They have remained unbeaten in their last five home games against St. Pauli, winning three of them. Their offensive capabilities are evident, averaging 2.16 goals per home game this season. Conversely, St. Pauli has struggled in away matches, scoring an average of 1.36 goals per game. While Frankfurt appears to have the advantage, St. Pauli’s determination to avoid relegation could lead to a fiercely contested match.
Key players are expected to play significant roles in the outcome. Frankfurt’s Hugo Ekitike, with 15 goals this season, leads their attack, supported by Nathaniel Brown, who has provided eight assists. For St. Pauli, Morgan Guilavogui and captain Jackson Irvine will need to deliver exceptional performances to inspire their team. Recent form adds complexity, with Frankfurt showing inconsistency (D W D L W) and St. Pauli achieving only one win in their last five games (L D D W D). Individual brilliance could be the deciding factor in this high-stakes encounter.
Eintracht Frankfurt - St Pauli Key Facts
Eintracht have an impressive home record against St Pauli, remaining unbeaten in their last five encounters at home, winning three and drawing two, which highlights their dominance in this fixture and suggests a strong likelihood of victory for punters.
In their last 13 meetings, Eintracht Frankfurt have secured 7 wins compared to St Pauli's 3, with a goal difference of 22-15 in favour of Frankfurt, indicating a consistent upper hand that could influence betting outcomes.
Eintracht have scored in all 16 of their home Bundesliga matches this season, while St Pauli have failed to score in 6 of their 16 away matches, suggesting a significant disparity in attacking form that could impact the match result.
Eintracht Frankfurt vs St Pauli Betting Predictions
Primary bet: Home Win @ 8/15
Eintracht Frankfurt’s impressive home form and dominance over St Pauli make a home win the standout choice. Frankfurt have secured three consecutive Bundesliga victories at Deutsche Bank Park and remain unbeaten in their last five home meetings with St Pauli. Statistically, they hold a 47% first-half win rate compared to St Pauli’s 22%, and when leading 1-0 at home, they convert that advantage into a win 82% of the time. With a calculated 50.86% probability for a home win and odds of 8/15, this bet offers strong value, particularly given Frankfurt’s consistent performances on their home turf.
Secondary bet: Over 2.5 Goals @ 8/11
The secondary bet on over 2.5 goals is well-supported by a high probability of 79.61%. Frankfurt average 2.16 goals per home match, while St Pauli concede 1.36 goals per away fixture, suggesting a high-scoring encounter is likely. Although St Pauli have struggled in attack recently, their tendency to find late goals could contribute to the total. With odds of 8/11 and Frankfurt’s attacking prowess, this selection aligns with both statistical trends and the match context, presenting an excellent opportunity for value.
