Wolfsburg vs RB Leipzig predictions & betting tips
Discover why VfL Wolfsburg's impressive 72% win rate when scoring first at home could be the key factor in their crucial Bundesliga clash against RB Leipzig at the Volkswagen Arena.
The Volkswagen Arena is set to host a pivotal Bundesliga match this Friday as Wolfsburg faces RB Leipzig in a game that could significantly influence their aspirations for European competition. Both teams are under pressure following recent setbacks, with Leipzig positioned sixth and Wolfsburg ninth in the standings. A win is crucial, especially for Leipzig, who are striving for European qualification. However, both teams enter the match in less-than-ideal form—Wolfsburg has not won in their last five home games, while Leipzig has failed to secure a victory in nine consecutive away matches.
This matchup underscores the challenges both teams face. Wolfsburg's current tally of 38 points represents a decline from the previous season, and their offensive struggles—failing to score in two of their last 14 home games—are evident. Similarly, Leipzig's away performance has been lackluster, with the team failing to score in five of their last 14 road games. Despite these difficulties, both teams possess offensive talent, with Mohamed Amoura and Benjamin Sesko leading their respective squads with 10 goals each. Their contributions could be pivotal in what is expected to be a closely contested game.
Historically, Leipzig have had the upper hand, winning seven out of their 16 encounters with Wolfsburg. Their latest meeting concluded with a narrow 1-0 victory, potentially giving them a psychological advantage. However, Wolfsburg's tendency to score late—31% of their goals occur in the final 15 minutes—could be a decisive factor if the match remains evenly poised. Conversely, Leipzig's consistent scoring throughout the game makes them a persistent threat.
With European qualification on the line, this game holds importance beyond the three points at stake. Wolfsburg's struggles at home might provide Leipzig with an edge, but the hosts will be eager to reverse their fortunes. The performances of Amoura and Sesko will be under scrutiny, as their impact could shape the outcome of this high-stakes encounter.
Wolfsburg - RB Leipzig Key Facts
RB Leipzig have a superior overall record against Wolfsburg, winning 12 out of their last 25 encounters, which highlights their historical dominance and could influence betting on their likelihood to win again.
Wolfsburg are currently on a five-match winless streak at home, which raises concerns about their form and may lead punters to consider betting against them in this fixture.
Both teams have struggled to score recently, with Wolfsburg failing to find the net in two of their last 14 home matches and Leipzig not scoring in five of their last 14 away games, suggesting a potential low-scoring match outcome.
Betting Predictions
Primary Bet:Over 2.5 goals @ 73/100
A high-scoring affair is likely when Wolfsburg face RB Leipzig, given both sides' defensive frailties and historical trends. "Over 2.5 goals" is supported by a strong 73.09% probability, with their previous encounters averaging 2.8 goals per match. Wolfsburg have conceded in each of their last seven fixtures, while Leipzig’s defensive issues have played a key role in their nine-match winless run away from home. With both teams eager to secure a vital win, this bet offers excellent value.
Secondary Bet:Both Teams To Score: Yes @ 57/100
The secondary bet, "Both Teams To Score: Yes", is equally compelling. Wolfsburg average 1.59 goals per match at home, while Leipzig manage 1.21 on their travels. Despite Leipzig’s struggles on the road, both teams have shown a consistent tendency to concede, with Wolfsburg failing to keep a clean sheet in their last seven matches. The 53.5% probability for this outcome further strengthens its appeal, making it a strong complementary option to the primary bet.
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