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QPR vs Burnley predictions & betting tips

Uncover why Burnley’s unbeaten nine-match streak and dominant away record could be the key to your smartest Championship bet as they face QPR at Kiyan Prince Foundation Stadium this Saturday.

Sporticos By Sporticos, Team
Published: 07:30, 25 Apr 2025

Who will win?

QPR
X
Burnley

Queens Park Rangers and Burnley are set to face off at the Kiyan Prince Foundation Stadium this Saturday, 26 April 2025, in a Championship clash crucial to crowning this year's champions. Hosts QPR, currently 15th in the table, can neither be relegated nor promoted and will end the season firmly in mid-table. However, Burnley are in 2nd, level on 94 points with rivals Leeds. They need to better the Yorkshire side's results in these last two games of the season to leapfrog them and clinch the title. Picking up all three points at Loftus Road will be the goal for Scott Parker and his men, despite having wrapped up automatic promotion.

Burnley arrive as the league’s standout away performers, having secured 13 wins on the road this season. Their impressive +46 goal difference underlines their dominance, with Josh Brownhill leading the charge with 14 goals. In contrast, QPR have struggled at home, failing to win any of their last five matches. However, a recent four-game unbeaten run and Michael Frey’s knack for late goals provide a glimmer of optimism. Notably, QPR score 27% of their goals between the 61st and 75th minutes, a period Burnley’s defence will need to navigate carefully.

The head-to-head record also favours Burnley, who have won 12 of the last 25 meetings, while QPR have managed just five victories in that span. QPR’s last home win against Burnley feels like a distant memory, and their previous encounter ended in a goalless draw, reflecting the typically low-scoring nature of this fixture, which averages just 1.4 goals per game. Breaking this trend will be vital for QPR if they are to secure a crucial result.

As the season approaches its climax, the stakes could not be higher. Burnley’s consistency and firepower make them favourites, but QPR’s resilience and home support might see them play kingmakers here. With the leagu title on the line, this Championship showdown promises tension, drama, and potentially season-defining moments.

QPR - Burnley Key Facts

  • Burnley are currently in excellent form, remaining unbeaten in their last nine matches. Additionally, they have lost only one of their last five encounters against Queens Park Rangers, showcasing both strong performance and a psychological advantage.

  • QPR, on the other hand, have struggled in their recent home games, failing to secure a win in their last five matches. This trend raises concerns about their ability to perform effectively on their home turf.

  • Historically, Burnley have demonstrated dominance in their matchups against QPR, winning 12 out of their last 25 meetings compared to Rangers' five victories. This historical edge could influence betting preferences towards Burnley.

Betting Predictions

Primary Bet:Away Win @ 19/20

Burnley’s outstanding away form makes them a compelling choice for an "away win". They are unbeaten in their last nine matches and have avoided defeat in their previous five fixtures on the road. With an impressive away record this season of 13 wins, 7 draws, and just 2 losses, Burnley have consistently demonstrated their strength away from Turf Moor. In contrast, QPR have struggled at home, failing to secure a victory in their last five matches. This disparity in form underpins the value of backing Burnley at 19/20 odds.

Secondary Bet:Over 2.5 Goals @ 13/10

The secondary bet on "over 2.5 goals" is supported by a strong 67.34% probability, highlighting the potential for a high-scoring encounter. While the historical average of goals between these sides stands at 1.4, recent trends point towards an increase in scoring opportunities. QPR average 1.37 goals per home match, and Burnley’s attacking prowess on their travels further bolsters the case for multiple goals in this crucial Championship fixture. At 13/10 odds, this selection offers excellent value for those seeking a higher return.

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