The stage is set for a high-stakes encounter as Brazil and Paraguay face off in a crucial World Cup qualifier at the Neo Quimica Arena on Wednesday, 11 June 2025. With just two points separating the sides in the CONMEBOL standings—Paraguay sitting third on 24 points and Brazil fourth with 22—this match could have a significant impact on their paths to automatic qualification. Both teams are coming off draws in their previous fixtures, adding extra urgency to secure a vital win.
Historically, Brazil have dominated this rivalry, particularly on home soil, winning four of their last five home meetings against Paraguay. However, the visitors arrive with confidence, riding an impressive nine-match unbeaten streak, which includes a victory over Brazil in their last encounter. Brazil’s attacking prowess has seen them average 1.5 goals per home game, but Paraguay’s defensive solidity, conceding less than a goal per game on the road, could make this a tightly contested affair.
Key players are likely to determine the outcome of this clash. Brazil’s Raphinha, their leading scorer with five goals, will aim to inspire the hosts and make the most of the home advantage. Meanwhile, Antonio Sanabria, who has netted four times for Paraguay, will look to lead his side to another statement result. The performances of these two attacking stars could be pivotal in deciding the match.
With an average of 2.4 goals per match in their previous meetings, fans can expect an intense and dramatic night in São Paulo. For Brazil, this is not just about points but also redemption, while Paraguay will be determined to extend their momentum. As the race for World Cup qualification intensifies, this showdown could prove decisive in shaping the futures of both teams.
Brazil - Paraguay Key Facts
Brazil have an impressive home record against Paraguay, winning 4 out of their last 5 encounters at home with a goal difference of 13-2, making them strong favourites for this match.
Paraguay are unbeaten in their last 9 matches, showcasing a solid run of form that could challenge Brazil's dominance, especially considering they recently defeated Brazil in their last meeting.
Brazil have scored in 6 consecutive matches and maintain an average of 1.5 goals per home game, indicating a consistent attacking threat that punters should consider when betting on total goals.
Brazil vs Paraguay Betting Predictions
Primary bet: Home Win @ 2/5
Brazil's formidable home record against Paraguay makes the Home Win an excellent selection. They have triumphed in 4 of their last 5 home fixtures against Paraguay, with an impressive aggregate scoreline of 13-2. Furthermore, Brazil average 1.5 goals per home match in World Cup Qualification, underlining their consistent attacking prowess. While their recent form has been somewhat erratic, the combination of historical dominance and the advantage of playing on home soil strongly supports this bet.
Secondary bet: Both Teams To Score: No @ 8/15
The Both Teams To Score: No market is bolstered by Paraguay's persistent struggles in front of goal during away matches, having failed to score in 5 of their last 7 World Cup Qualification outings. Brazil's defensive solidity further strengthens this pick, with the Selecao keeping clean sheets in 3 of their last 5 home meetings against Paraguay. Given Paraguay's meagre average of just 0.4 goals per match in their clashes with Brazil, this bet aligns perfectly with the historical trend of low-scoring encounters between these sides.
