Bochum welcome Mainz to the Vonovia Ruhrstadion this Saturday, 10 May, for a Bundesliga clash that pits relegation fears against European ambitions. Bochum, rooted to the bottom of the table in 18th place with just 22 points, are desperate for a lifeline to escape the drop. Meanwhile, Mainz, sitting 7th with 48 points, are eyeing a potential European spot. Both sides are winless in their last six matches.
Bochum’s home struggles have been a significant factor in their precarious position. Despite averaging 1.42 goals per game at the Vonovia Ruhrstadion, they have failed to score in six home matches this season. Mainz, on the other hand, have been more prolific on the road, averaging 2.3 goals per away game. However, their recent form has dipped, with three consecutive away defeats. This clash of out-of-form teams could hinge on individual brilliance, with Bochum’s Myron Boadu, who has netted seven goals this season, and Mainz’s Jonathan Burkardt, boasting 15 goals, both pivotal to their sides’ fortunes.
Historically, Mainz have had the upper hand in this fixture, winning 14 of the last 24 meetings, including a 2-0 victory in their most recent encounter. Bochum’s last home win against Mainz came in 2021, and they will need to channel that spirit to break their current winless streak. With an average of 3.6 goals per match in their head-to-head history, fans could be treated to an entertaining showdown, though the most common scoreline of 0-1 suggests a tight contest may be on the cards.
Bochum - Mainz Key Facts
Mainz have an impressive record against Bochum, remaining unbeaten in their last five encounters across all competitions, winning four of those matches, which highlights their dominance in this fixture and suggests a strong likelihood of success for punters backing Mainz.
Bochum have failed to win any of their last six Bundesliga matches, indicating a concerning dip in form that could make them vulnerable against a Mainz side that has historically performed well against them.
Mainz average 2.6 goals per match against Bochum, while Bochum only manage 1 goal per match on average in this matchup, suggesting that Mainz's attacking prowess could lead to a high-scoring game, making the over goals market an appealing option for bettors.
Betting Predictions
Primary bet:Over 2.5 goals@ 4/6
VfL Bochum and FSV Mainz have consistently delivered high-scoring fixtures, with their previous meetings averaging an impressive 3.6 goals per match. Bochum have been reliable in front of goal at home, averaging 1.42 goals per match, while Mainz boast a strong away scoring record of 2.3 goals per game. Notably, Mainz have averaged 2.6 goals per match in their recent encounters with Bochum. These statistics underline the value of the over 2.5 goals market, which carries a solid probability of 77.37% and is attractively priced at 4/6.
Secondary bet:Both Teams To Score: Yes@ 8/15
The secondary bet, Both Teams To Score: Yes, is supported by Mainz's defensive frailties, having conceded in each of their last eight matches. Furthermore, both teams have found the net in 56.71% of their games this season. Bochum’s tendency to exploit first-half opportunities aligns well with Mainz’s defensive vulnerabilities during that period. With both sides eager to end their respective winless runs, an open and attacking fixture is anticipated, making this bet a strong option at 8/15.
