Bayer Leverkusen vs Augsburg predictions & betting tips

Bayer Leverkusen welcome Augsburg to the BayArena this Saturday in a Bundesliga clash that pits title aspirations against mid-table resilience. Leverkusen, currently second in the table, are seeing hopes of retaining their title slip through their fingers, while Augsburg, sitting 10th, are looking to stabilise a satisfactory season. History heavily favours the hosts, with Leverkusen winning 19 of their last 29 meetings, including eight of the last 11. Augsburg’s solitary victory in their last 13 visits to Leverkusen highlights the scale of their challenge.

Both sides come into this fixture off the back of draws, which could influence their momentum. Leverkusen’s impressive home form, averaging 2.07 goals per game, gives them a significant advantage, particularly with Patrik Schick in fine form. The striker has already netted 17 goals this season and will be pivotal once again. For Augsburg, Alexis Claude-Maurice, with nine goals to his name, must rise to the occasion to keep his side competitive. However, Augsburg’s struggles on the road, coupled with a negative goal difference, leave them vulnerable against such a strong opponent.

Leverkusen’s dominance in this fixture is further underlined by a 60-25 goal difference over Augsburg across their last 29 encounters. The most common scoreline at the BayArena is 2-1, reflecting the hosts’ ability to edge tight contests. Augsburg’s dismal 9% win rate when trailing away from home only adds to their uphill battle, especially against a Leverkusen side boasting an 87% win rate when leading at home.

Leverkusen simply must win if they want to keep their slim title hopes alive, while Augsburg look to avoid slipping into a losing streak. A win for the hosts would bolster their championship ambitions, while the visitors will hope to defy the odds and claim a vital point in their quest for consistency.

Bayer Leverkusen - Augsburg Key Facts

• Bayer Leverkusen have demonstrated a strong home record against Augsburg, securing victories in 9 out of the last 13 encounters at home. This dominance is further emphasised by a goal difference of 24-9, showcasing their consistent performance in this fixture.

• In the previous season, Bayer triumphed in both league matches against Augsburg, including a 2-1 victory at home. This recent success underscores their superiority and reliability as a choice for betting.

• Augsburg have faced challenges in this matchup, failing to secure a win in their last 3 matches against Leverkusen. This trend may influence betting decisions in favour of the hosts.

Betting Predictions

Primary Bet:Home Win @ 9/25

Bayer Leverkusen’s strong home record against Augsburg makes the "home win" an excellent value bet. Leverkusen have triumphed in 9 of their last 13 home fixtures against Augsburg, boasting an impressive goal difference of 24-9 in these meetings. Last season, they completed the double over Augsburg, including a 2-1 victory at home. Furthermore, Leverkusen have an 87% win rate when leading 1-0 at home, underlining their ability to capitalise on early advantages and secure results on their own turf. These factors collectively reinforce confidence in backing a home win.

Secondary Bet:Over 2.5 Goals @ 8/11

The secondary bet of "over 2.5 goals" is well-supported by both recent form and historical trends. Leverkusen average 2.07 goals per home match, while Augsburg have found the net in each of their last five fixtures, highlighting their attacking consistency. Historically, clashes between these sides have been competitive, with an average of 2 goals per game and a tendency for high-scoring encounters. With a 77.62% probability of over 2.5 goals in Leverkusen’s matches, this selection offers strong value for those anticipating an open and entertaining contest.