Girona welcome Atletico Madrid to the Estadi Montilivi on Sunday, 25 May 2025, at 13:00 for a LaLiga dead rubber. With Girona safe from relegation and Atletico having secured Champions League qualification, this LaLiga clash carries very little significance for either side. Atletico sit third with 73 points, while Girona find themselves in 15th on 41 points.
Atletico have historically dominated this fixture, winning four of their last five meetings, including a commanding three-goal victory in their most recent encounter. Girona’s struggles at home are evident, having failed to score in five of their 18 matches this season. Adding to their challenges, they have only managed one win in their last five LaLiga games against Atletico. With a +34 goal difference compared to Girona’s -12, the visitors appear well-equipped to capitalise on their opponents’ frailties.
Key players could shape the narrative of this high-stakes encounter. For Girona, Yangel Herrera’s disciplinary record—leading the team in yellow cards—raises concerns about potential disruptions in a match where composure will be crucial. Meanwhile, Atletico will look to Clement Lenglet’s defensive solidity to sustain their impressive away form, which has seen them average 1.91 goals per game. Both players’ contributions could be decisive in what promises to be a tense affair.
Girona - Atletico Madrid Key Facts
Atletico Madrid have a strong historical advantage over Girona, winning 5 of their last 11 encounters, which indicates their dominance in head-to-head matchups and suggests a higher likelihood of victory for punters backing Atletico.
Girona have managed to win only 1 of their last 5 La Liga games against Atleti, highlighting their struggles against this opponent and reinforcing the notion that Atletico are the more reliable choice for betting.
Atleti have scored an average of 2.4 goals per match against Girona, while Girona average just 1.2 goals in these fixtures, suggesting that backing Atletico to score multiple goals could be a profitable betting strategy.
Girona vs Atletico Madrid Betting Predictions
Primary Bet:Over 2.5 goals @ 8/13
The primary bet on "over 2.5 goals" is underpinned by compelling statistics, with an 82.72% likelihood of this outcome. Historical clashes between Girona and Atletico Madrid average an impressive 3.6 goals per match, reflecting a consistent trend of high-scoring encounters. Additionally, both sides demonstrate strong attacking output—Girona average 1.46 goals per match at home, while Atletico Madrid net 1.91 goals per match on their travels. This attacking prowess, coupled with their mutual tendency for open matches, makes this selection a strong value proposition, even accounting for occasional lapses in finishing.
Secondary Bet:Away Win @ Evens
The secondary bet on an "away win" is supported by their superior head-to-head record and recent form. Atletico have triumphed in 5 of their last 11 meetings with Girona, including 4 wins in their most recent 5 encounters. Furthermore, Atletico are in solid form, suffering just one defeat in their last five matches, whereas Girona have managed only one win in the same period. While Girona’s home advantage cannot be dismissed, Atletico’s tactical discipline and historical dominance provide excellent value at even odds.
