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Athletic Bilbao vs Barcelona predictions & betting tips

Uncover the key stats behind the Lions’ clash with the Blaugrana, including Barcelona’s dominant record at San Mames, and leverage our expert LaLiga betting insights before Sunday’s kickoff.

Sporticos By Sporticos, Team
Published: 16:00, 24 May 2025
Sporticos

Who will win?

Athletic Bilbao
X
Barcelona

San Mames will host a high-stakes LaLiga clash this Sunday as Athletic Club take on champions Barcelona in the final game of the season. Barcelona wrapped up the LaLiga title a while ago, having secured an impressive 13 away wins this season in the process. Meanwhile, fourth-placed Bilbao have qualified for next season's Champions League - a fine achievement for the Basque club in their own right. With both sides in strong form—Bilbao winning three of their last five and Barcelona four—this fixture could provide fireworks.

Bilbao’s formidable home record, boasting 11 wins, six draws, and just one defeat at San Mames, could be a decisive factor. Oihan Sancet, their leading scorer with 15 goals, will be central to their attacking efforts. For Barcelona, Robert Lewandowski, LaLiga’s top scorer with 25 goals, remains a constant menace. The visitors’ attacking strength, averaging 2.72 goals per game on the road, contrasts intriguingly with Bilbao’s solid home scoring rate of 1.79, setting the stage for a fascinating tactical battle.

Historically, Barcelona have dominated this fixture, winning 10 of the last 17 meetings and 52 of 82 overall. Athletic Bilbao’s last home victory over the Catalan giants came in 2020, a psychological edge that favours the visitors. However, with 25% of Bilbao’s goals coming in the final 15 minutes, late drama could swing the momentum their way.

Backed by the passionate San Mames crowd, Bilbao will look to defy the odds, but Barcelona’s consistency and firepower make them formidable opponents. Supporters can expect a thrilling encounter.

Athletic Club - Barcelona Key Facts

  • Barcelona have an impressive historical advantage over Athletic Club, winning 52 out of their last 82 encounters, which highlights their dominance and suggests a strong likelihood of victory for punters.

  • Barcelona are unbeaten in their last five La Liga matches against Bilbao, winning four of those, indicating a consistent upper hand in recent form that could influence betting decisions.

  • Bilbao have failed to score in three of their 18 home matches this season, while Barcelona have scored in 34 consecutive matches, suggesting a significant disparity in attacking prowess that may favour Barcelona in this fixture.

Athletic Club vs Barcelona Betting Predictions

Primary Bet:Over 2.5 goals @ 8/15

Athletic Bilbao and Barcelona are set to deliver an entertaining, goal-filled fixture. Both sides are in strong attacking form, with Barcelona averaging an impressive 2.72 goals per away match, while Bilbao have netted 1.79 goals per home game this season. Historically, their encounters average 2.4 goals per match, further reinforcing the likelihood of a high-scoring affair. Bilbao’s consistency in front of goal—scoring in 15 of their 18 home fixtures—combined with Barcelona’s attacking prowess, makes the "over 2.5 goals" market a standout option.

Secondary Bet:Away Win @ 11/10

For the secondary bet, Barcelona’s recent dominance and current form make the "away win" an attractive proposition. The Catalan side are on a six-match winning streak in LaLiga and have triumphed in four of their last five meetings with Bilbao. Overall, they’ve secured victory in 52 of their last 82 encounters against the Basque side. While Bilbao’s strong home record (11 wins, 6 draws, 1 loss) adds a layer of challenge, Barcelona’s psychological edge—having not lost in Bilbao since 2020—along with their superior quality, tips the balance in their favour. At 11/10, the away win offers excellent value for punters.

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