Atalanta vs Bologna predictions & betting tips

The Serie A battle for Champions League qualification heats up this Sunday as Atalanta welcome Bologna to the Gewiss Stadium. With just two points separating the sides—Atalanta in third on 60 points and Bologna fourth with 58—this fixture carries enormous significance. Bologna arrive in scintillating form, riding a five-match winning streak, while Atalanta are reeling from three consecutive defeats. Both teams are desperate to secure a top-four finish, making this clash a pivotal moment in their campaigns.

The recent form of these sides tells contrasting stories. Atalanta have struggled in front of goal, failing to score in their last three matches despite boasting Serie A’s top scorer, Mateo Retegui, who has 22 goals this season. In contrast, Bologna have hit their stride, scoring in six consecutive games, with Riccardo Orsolini contributing 11 goals to their impressive run. This stark difference in attacking momentum sets the stage for a dramatic encounter, likely to be decided by which team seizes their chances.

Historically, Atalanta have had the upper hand in this rivalry, winning 20 of their last 44 meetings. However, recent encounters tell a different story, with Bologna victorious in four of the last five clashes, including the most recent two. This shift in fortunes gives Bologna a psychological edge, particularly against an Atalanta side struggling to assert themselves at home. With an average of just 1.8 goals per match in their meetings, another tightly contested affair seems likely.

Key players will undoubtedly influence the outcome. Retegui’s ability to end his scoring drought is vital for Atalanta, while Orsolini’s form could once again prove decisive for Bologna. Defensive performances from Raoul Bellanova and Juan Miranda will also be critical in a match where every goal could define the season. With Champions League football on the line, this high-stakes showdown promises drama, tension, and potentially season-defining moments.

Atalanta - Bologna Key Facts

• Bologna are currently on a five-match winning streak in Serie A and have not lost any of their last five encounters against Atalanta, making them a formidable opponent and a strong bet for continued success in this fixture.

• Atalanta have failed to win their last six home matches and have not scored in three of their last four games, indicating a significant decline in form that could lead to further struggles against Bologna.

• Historically, Bologna have outperformed Atalanta in their recent meetings, winning four of the last five matches, which suggests a trend that punters should consider when placing bets.

Betting Predictions

Primary Bet:Over 2.5 goals @ 1/1

Atalanta's home fixtures are often high-scoring affairs, with the team averaging 2.06 goals per match on their own turf this season. Bologna, on the other hand, contribute an average of 1.18 goals per away match, creating a compelling case for a high total score. Supporting this, statistical analysis indicates a 72.4% probability of "over 2.5 goals" being scored. Although Atalanta have failed to find the net in their last three matches, their urgency to end this drought, combined with Bologna's attacking output, makes this a well-supported betting option.

Secondary Bet:Bologna to win @ 29/10

The secondary bet of "Bologna to win" is underpinned by their impressive form, as they are currently on a six-match winning streak in Serie A. Notably, Bologna have dominated recent head-to-head encounters, winning four of the last five meetings against Atalanta. While Atalanta traditionally enjoy a strong home advantage, their current seven-match winless run at home raises doubts about their ability to capitalise on it. Bologna, buoyed by their recent performances and three consecutive clean sheets, are well-positioned to secure another victory in this clash.